Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.295277 0.333005 0.375624 0.427731 0.490263 0.563594 6.571465e-01
2025-01-26 0.250041 0.303206 0.369792 0.461216 0.586643 0.757754 1.018510e+00
2025-02-02 0.228523 0.292806 0.380067 0.511909 0.715343 1.035548 1.622333e+00
2025-02-09 0.207869 0.277486 0.377956 0.541747 0.820646 1.319681 2.415926e+00
2025-02-16 0.190141 0.262166 0.371349 0.560970 0.912763 1.621427 3.491732e+00
2025-02-23 0.172580 0.243891 0.356173 0.561242 0.969616 1.881784 4.748877e+00
2025-03-02 0.152211 0.218424 0.325198 0.526596 0.946842 1.954660 5.560667e+00
2025-03-09 0.139056 0.202782 0.308172 0.513984 0.966136 2.142275 7.076041e+00
2025-03-16 0.128474 0.190101 0.294394 0.504735 0.990037 2.358040 9.163221e+00
2025-03-23 0.121877 0.183287 0.289935 0.513089 1.058357 2.754080 1.336772e+01
2025-03-30 0.111951 0.169857 0.271860 0.489719 1.039749 2.852698 1.602437e+01
2025-04-06 0.103698 0.158645 0.256737 0.470372 1.027027 2.970771 1.953201e+01
2025-04-13 0.095997 0.148174 0.242673 0.452893 1.020095 3.135114 2.509330e+01
2025-04-20 0.094131 0.147968 0.248420 0.482071 1.161773 4.104125 5.615133e+01
2025-04-27 0.094381 0.151597 0.262228 0.534022 1.404550 6.043015 2.442833e+02
2025-05-04 0.092440 0.150924 0.267134 0.565140 1.597738 8.228723 1.964222e+03
2025-05-11 0.089695 0.148433 0.267831 0.585384 1.764688 10.826594 1.787318e+07
2025-05-18 0.085707 0.143163 0.261819 0.585639 1.850424 13.040235 NaN
2025-05-25 0.079509 0.133088 0.244128 0.548933 1.753276 12.772975 NaN
2025-06-01 0.075405 0.126938 0.234781 0.535584 1.762920 14.131000 NaN
2025-06-08 0.071872 0.121704 0.227038 0.525800 1.787079 15.939398 NaN
2025-06-15 0.069779 0.119238 0.225430 0.534637 1.913382 20.520778 NaN
2025-06-22 0.065833 0.112733 0.213802 0.509925 1.847793 20.769590 NaN